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Asking price trends show how Cape property soars … [an Article in Moneyweb – 11 July 2025]

It’s one thing seeing the divergence in an aggregated index of house prices for a well-run metro such as Cape Town versus an underperforming one (say, Joburg). Most readers of this site will know that Cape residential property prices have handsomely outperformed those in Gauteng (and elsewhere).

But these are just numbers on a chart. Actual examples from real neighbourhoods show just how stark this difference is.

FNB’s house price index is averaging 2% year to date which, incredibly, is ahead of the bank’s original expectations.

FNB House Price Index, May 2025. Source: FNB

Notably, the recent strengthening of the index has been fuelled by a sharper decline in supply than by a rise in demand.

Simply put, there is not enough new stock being built – and this is not a new phenomenon.

So far this year, the volume of completed homes is down 14%, after annual declines of 7.4% last year and 25.9% in 2023.

MyProperty’s weighted index shows residential property prices in the Western Cape growing 8.7% between 2024 and 2025, versus Gauteng’s 2%. Since 2020, the former’s growth has been 30.5% according to this index, versus 9% for the latter.

When it comes to metros, these variances are even starker.

According to the MyProperty index, property prices in the City of Cape Town are up 24% since 2020. In the City of Johannesburg, this number is just 4% (not even keeping up with inflation).

Drilling into a suburb or region illustrates the real changes.

Inspired by FinTwit Johann Biermann, who cobbled together a quick analysis, Moneyweb analysed a number of regions and suburbs across the country.

Importantly, these are based on the average asking prices of all properties listed on Property24 (this includes vacant land and commercial property but residential properties far outweigh these).

 

Average asking price
 2023  2025 Change
Greater Sandton R2 200 000 R2 249 000 2%
Greater Randburg R1 626 300 R1 485 025 -9%
Midrand R1 300 000 R1 402 000 8%
Roodepoort R1 250 000 R1 195 000 -4%
Centurion R2 050 000 R2 000 000 -2%
Hout Bay R4 995 000 R6 300 000 26%
Fish Hoek R2 495 000 R3 200 000 28%
Sea Point R4 783 250 R5 987 500 25%
Durbanville R2 950 000 R3 099 000 5%
Blouberg R1 800 000 R2 700 000 50%
Paarl R3 140 000 R4 500 000 43%
Stellenbosch R2 599 500 R3 395 000 31%
Somerset West R2 700 000 R3 634 875 35%
Hermanus R2 795 000 R3 298 000 18%
Malmesbury R1 899 900 R2 300 000 21%
Langebaan R2 200 000 R3 250 000 48%
George R2 550 000 R2 980 000 17%
Umhlanga R3 595 000 R3 350 000 -7%

What’s noticeable from this analysis is just how poorly property prices in Johannesburg suburbs have performed when compared to areas in the Western Cape. There are nuances, however.

Joburg metro

In Property24’s trends data, Midrand includes Waterfall which would’ve boosted asking prices in that region.

Greater Sandton includes Sandton, Morningside, Bryanston, Woodmead and Fourways.

Greater Randburg is an even larger area that comprises Northcliff, Blairgowrie, Linden, Ferndale, Cresta, Fleurhof and Randpark Ridge.

Similarly, Roodepoort is what most people think of when they think of the ‘West Rand’ (aside from Krugersdorp). It also includes Cosmo City and Jackal Creek.

Due to the size of these areas, they are very representative of the dynamics happening in smaller suburbs across the metro.

Cape Town metro

By contrast, asking prices in regions across the City of Cape Town are up handsomely (with the exception of Durbanville, where large-scale developments are dragging the average lower as these are being priced at lower entry points than a typical Durbanville residential property).

This trend continues to areas, towns and cities outside of Cape Town itself, such as Paarl, Langebaan, George and Somerset West.

This is astonishing growth and speaks directly to confidence that sellers (and developers) have in these markets.

(Umhlanga’s relatively tepid performance is largely due to the large-scale developments at Sibaya which, by definition, are dragging average asking prices lower).

Asking vs actually selling …

It is important to stress that these are trends based on average asking prices, not on confirmed or completed sales.

Using those metrics, according to Property24’s tool, things look slightly different with sellers in the Western Cape clearly accepting more modest offers for their properties and those in Gauteng achieving decent prices for theirs.

Average selling price
2023 2025 Change
Greater Sandton R1 800 000 R1 895 000 5%
Greater Randburg R1 300 000 R1 350 000 4%
Midrand R875 000 R1 100 000 26%
Roodepoort R950 000 R1 000 000 5%
Centurion R1 550 000 R1 550 000 0%
Hout Bay R3 768 000 R4 500 000 19%
Fish Hoek R2 200 000 R2 558 000 16%
Sea Point R2 950 000 R3 300 000 12%
Durbanville R2 750 000 R3 150 000 15%
Blouberg R1 740 000 R1 850 000 6%
Paarl R1 925 000 R2 150 000 12%
Stellenbosch R1 770 000 R2 225 500 26%
Somerset West R2 100 000 R2 300 000 10%
Hermanus R2 695 000 R2 800 000 4%
Malmesbury R820 000 R850 000 4%
Langebaan R1 695 000 R1 800 000 6%
George R1 750 000 R2 495 000 43%
Umhlanga R2 650 000 R2 501 250 -6%

 

The Original Full Article can be viewed here: →  https://www.moneyweb.co.za/investing/property/asking-price-trends-show-how-cape-property-soars/